Model Predictions
| Model | Nicholls Colonels | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.1% | 89.9% | +14.1 | ✓ (26.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.9% | 98.1% | +21.7 | ✓ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners +41 (91-50). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Nicholls Colonels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Hammond * | 39 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Schane Rillieux * | 37 | 0-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Trevon Lewis * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Sam McBeath * | 35 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Jeremy Smith * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Lachlan Prest | 26 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Sterling Bailey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zachary West | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Linden Smith-Hyde | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Franklin * | 26 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Sei Paye * | 24 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Jeromie Hill * | 23 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Melvin Johnson III * | 18 | 8-14 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Alex Vouyoukas * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Kannon Burrage | 27 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Michael Hale III | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Sims | 16 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Iggy Nujic | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Wood | 9 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Whitehead | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
* = starter