Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.6% | 63.4% | +3.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -8 (60-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Ekey * | 32 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Nic Moore * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Tyler Brown * | 29 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| John Wilkins * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Jackie Carmichael * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Anthony Cousin | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bryant Allen | 18 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Threloff | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Johnny Hill | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Bizoukas * | 38 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Jamar Gulley * | 34 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 7-10 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Downing * | 33 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Weems * | 25 | 7-17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Isaiah Rhine * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Keith Pickens | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Christian Kirk | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Corey Copeland | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nathan Scheer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter