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2012-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Indiana State Sycamores Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 45.6% 54.4% -
Bradley-Terry 34.2% 65.8% -
Margin 26.5% 73.5% +5.6 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 28.9% 71.1% -
Efficiency 13.2% 86.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.8% 89.2% -
Log Adjusted 10.8% 89.2% -

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +17 (65-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana State Sycamores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Richard * 32 4-10 0-3 2-3 4 0 0 0 3 10 1 -
J. Odum * 32 2-4 1-1 1-3 8 1 1 0 6 6 6 -
J. Printy * 28 2-7 1-5 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 7 3 -
S. McWhorter * 26 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Walker * 17 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 2 0 -
D. Lathan 29 7-10 0-1 1-2 3 0 2 0 3 15 7 -
R. Mahurin 24 2-6 1-3 1-3 5 2 1 1 1 6 8 -
J. Gant 6 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Doluony 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Kitchell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
L. Eitel 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Koch * 30 4-7 2-3 1-3 8 0 2 2 1 11 15 -
J. Moran * 29 3-7 1-2 0-0 2 3 3 0 1 7 7 -
A. James * 29 6-14 0-0 4-4 3 2 1 0 3 16 5 -
M. Sonnen * 28 5-10 3-5 2-2 4 0 1 0 1 15 9 -
S. Tuttle * 17 2-4 0-0 2-4 5 2 0 0 1 6 8 -
C. Rank 21 0-1 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 0 5 -
D. Mitchell 14 3-5 1-2 1-2 0 0 0 1 2 8 2 -
A. Pehl 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Morrison 11 0-5 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Martino 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Singleton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Lange 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter