Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.4% | 35.6% | -3.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -1 (65-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Bostic * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Jonathan King * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jereal Scott * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Desmond Haymon * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Gardner * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Hal Bateman | 26 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 7-10 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Taylor Smith | 26 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Micah Delph | 22 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Joe Bright | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Jacob Parker | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brooks Ybarra * | 29 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Reid Koenen * | 27 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Matt Staff * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Vonn Jones * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Wesley Davis * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Eddie Rios | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| John Bowman | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Travis Jones | 13 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Nick Hinton | 11 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Basil Brown | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Gordon Ball | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter