Model Predictions
| Model | Delaware State Hornets | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.4 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +34 (78-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Delaware State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Walker * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Tyshawn Bell * | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Kendall Gray * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Marques Oliver * | 23 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Brandon Oliver * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tahj Tate | 30 | 5-20 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | -2 | - |
| Jordan Lawson | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Amere May | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Jabari Joyner | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Abdulwali Kasim | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| James Marcellus | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Coger | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Williams * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| L. Brown * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| R. Howell * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| S. Wood * | 27 | 5-12 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - |
| C.J. Leslie * | 22 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| A. Johnson | 23 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. Painter | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. de Thaey | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Raymond | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Harris | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| S. Battle | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter