Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.2% | 39.8% | -2.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -1 (56-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Paul * | 39 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 3 | - |
| D.J. Richardson * | 38 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| M. Leonard * | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| J. Bertrand * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 30 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| M. Henry | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| N. Egwu | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. Griffey | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shurna * | 40 | 8-17 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 15 | - |
| D. Sobolewski * | 39 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| D. Crawford * | 38 | 3-12 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| L. Mirkovic * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| R. Hearn * | 11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Cobb | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Curletti | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter