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2012-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 11.3% 88.7% -
Bradley-Terry 43.3% 56.7% -
Margin 27.3% 72.7% +5.4 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 74.7% 25.3% -
Efficiency 18.2% 81.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.8% 21.2% -
Log Adjusted 79.2% 20.8% -

Actual: Bradley Braves -9 (65-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Seck * 35 6-11 0-0 3-4 11 6 0 0 1 15 20 -
K. Brown-Surles * 27 3-6 3-5 3-6 1 3 1 0 1 12 10 -
T. Daniels * 18 3-8 0-0 2-4 4 0 1 2 1 8 6 -
T.J. Lindsay * 15 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
T. Setty * 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 0 -
D. Taylor 22 4-4 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 9 7 -
D. Drinkard 18 6-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 12 10 -
J. Swan 17 1-4 0-0 0-2 1 1 1 0 2 2 -1 -
J. Bocot 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 4 1 0 0 4 6 -
K. Goff 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 5 0 0 0 2 7 -
J. Early 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Lemon Jr. * 36 5-10 0-1 6-9 4 3 0 0 5 16 8 -
T. Brown * 34 6-11 1-1 0-0 8 2 2 0 1 13 13 -
J. Prosser * 30 4-8 0-0 3-4 5 2 0 0 2 11 8 -
J. Eastman * 28 2-6 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 4 3 -
S. Shayok * 27 2-5 0-1 0-0 5 3 2 1 2 4 8 -
D. Simms-Edwards 28 6-14 3-5 2-2 4 4 0 0 2 17 9 -
A. Thompson 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
C. Woods 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Crawford 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter