Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✓ (28.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles +29 (85-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny Gabriel * | 30 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Frankie Sullivan * | 26 | 3-16 | 1-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -4 | - |
| Varez Ward * | 24 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Rob Chubb * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Noel Johnson * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Chris Denson | 28 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Josh Wallace | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Adrian Forbes | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Willy Kouassi | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Josh Langford | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Allen Payne | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Snaer * | 26 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 10-10 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Luke Loucks * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Deividas Dulkys * | 21 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Bernard James * | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Xavier Gibson * | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Okaro White | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ian Miller | 20 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Jon Kreft | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Terry Whisnant | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jeff Peterson | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Antwan Space | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Rafael Portuondo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joey Moreau | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter