Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Wisconsin Badgers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | +1.1 | ✗ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wisconsin Badgers -3 (60-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wood * | 37 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Appling * | 36 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| D. Green * | 35 | 6-19 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| B. Dawson * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Payne * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Thornton | 30 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| D. Nix | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| T. Trice II | 17 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Kearney | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Gauna | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Taylor * | 44 | 7-11 | 2-5 | 12-16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 19 | - |
| J. Gasser * | 42 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| R. Evans * | 40 | 3-15 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -2 | - |
| J. Berggren * | 28 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| M. Bruesewitz * | 26 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Brust | 33 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Wilson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter