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2012-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Wisconsin Badgers Spread Result
Elo 41.8% 58.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 51.4% 48.6% - โœ“
Margin 44.5% 55.5% +1.2 โœ— (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 50.2% 49.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.7% 50.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 47.5% 52.5% - โœ—

Actual: Wisconsin Badgers -3 (60-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Wood * 37 2-6 1-2 1-2 3 4 0 1 2 6 6 -
Keith Appling * 36 6-14 1-2 3-4 4 2 0 1 2 16 7 -
Draymond Green * 35 6-19 0-0 6-8 14 2 1 1 1 18 16 -
Branden Dawson * 22 2-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 2 0 2 5 6 -
Adreian Payne * 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 4 3 -
Austin Thornton 30 0-1 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 0 2 7 -
Derrick Nix 25 4-8 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 8 5 -
Travis Trice 17 0-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Brandan Kearney 5 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Alex Gauna 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Taylor * 44 7-11 2-5 12-16 5 1 0 0 4 28 19 -
Josh Gasser * 42 1-3 1-2 1-3 6 0 1 0 0 4 8 -
Ryan Evans * 40 3-15 0-2 1-1 4 1 0 1 0 7 -2 -
Jared Berggren * 28 4-13 1-6 0-0 6 0 0 3 1 9 4 -
Mike Bruesewitz * 26 2-4 1-3 3-5 4 0 0 0 2 8 6 -
Ben Brust 33 1-6 0-4 0-0 1 3 1 0 1 2 0 -
Robert Wilson 12 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter