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2012-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 13.0% 87.0% -
Bradley-Terry 19.2% 80.8% -
Margin 12.4% 87.6% +10.7 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.8% 90.2% -
Log Adjusted 9.5% 90.5% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +17 (76-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Simons * 34 7-10 3-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 17 8 -
R. Rice * 31 2-10 0-3 2-4 2 1 5 1 1 6 4 -
J. Clarke * 23 2-5 0-0 2-4 7 0 3 0 3 6 8 -
K. Madison * 22 0-7 0-2 3-4 1 5 1 0 3 3 0 -
J. Jeffers * 17 1-2 0-0 3-4 3 0 2 0 1 5 7 -
K. Alexander 19 3-10 1-3 0-0 4 4 1 0 3 7 3 -
A. Hawley 18 2-8 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 5 1 -
K. Woods 17 3-3 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
D. Smith 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
C. Parker 5 1-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
G. Whitaker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McDermott * 32 9-12 0-0 6-6 7 0 0 0 0 24 19 -
A. Young * 31 5-8 0-0 8-9 3 3 2 0 6 18 12 -
G. Gibbs * 29 3-3 1-1 1-2 7 5 2 1 4 8 16 -
G. Echenique * 26 5-7 0-0 0-1 5 1 0 4 1 10 12 -
J. Manigat * 17 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 3 2 -
J. Jones 19 1-3 1-2 1-2 3 1 1 0 2 4 4 -
E. Wragge 14 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
A. Dingman 10 2-4 2-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
A. Chatman 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 0 1 -
W. Artino 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
M. Dorwart 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Stormberg 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Ferrarini 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Sebastian 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter