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2012-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Hartford Hawks Albany Great Danes Spread Result
Elo 26.0% 74.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.7% 76.3% - โœ“
Margin 10.7% 89.3% +11.6 โœ“ (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 22.7% 77.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 8.7% 91.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.6% 91.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.6% 73.4% - โœ“

Actual: Albany Great Danes +25 (88-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hartford Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andres Torres * 31 4-12 1-6 4-6 3 3 2 0 2 13 7 -
Nate Sikma * 30 2-8 0-3 1-1 2 3 0 0 5 5 -3 -
Clayton Brothers * 26 1-5 0-1 2-2 5 1 0 0 3 4 2 -
Yolonzo Moore * 24 5-7 1-1 0-1 1 1 0 0 1 11 5 -
Mark Nwakamma * 24 4-6 0-0 0-1 4 2 3 1 3 8 9 -
Jamie Schneck 24 2-4 0-0 3-6 5 0 1 0 0 7 9 -
Wes Cole 21 4-13 4-11 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 12 2 -
Oren Faulk 7 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 0 1 2 -
Ryan Baker 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
Dustin Clarke 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Corban Wroe 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Albany Great Danes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gerardo Suero * 32 9-14 1-3 5-8 9 5 1 2 4 24 23 -
Logan Aronhalt * 32 7-13 1-5 2-2 5 1 1 2 3 17 10 -
Mike Black * 26 6-9 2-5 1-2 0 9 0 0 2 15 13 -
Luke Devlin * 22 4-7 0-2 2-3 7 1 1 0 1 10 11 -
Blake Metcalf * 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 1 2 5 -
Ralph Watts 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 0 -2 -
John Puk 16 3-4 0-0 1-1 11 1 0 1 1 7 15 -
Jayson Guerrier 15 2-5 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 1 1 6 2 -
Jacob Iati 9 1-4 1-4 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Sam Rowley 7 0-0 0-0 3-4 3 0 0 0 0 3 6 -
Tanner Gibson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter