Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | +0.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +13 (72-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Elorriaga * | 31 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Westly Perryman * | 30 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Drmic * | 26 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Drew Wiley * | 18 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Watkins * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kenny Buckner | 24 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Thomas Bropleh | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Derrick Marks | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jarrell Crayton | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Joe Hanstad | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tre Nichols | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Shepp * | 39 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Kevin Olekaibe * | 38 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Johnson * | 37 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Kevin Foster * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Jonathan Wills * | 22 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jerry Brown | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| L. McGaughey | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Garrett Johnson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter