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2012-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 65.9% 34.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 60.3% 39.7% - โœ—
Margin 79.4% 20.6% -7.4 โœ— (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.5% 50.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 87.8% 12.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 88.3% 11.7% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 64.8% 35.2% - โœ—

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +2 (65-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Bullock 0 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 2 7 -
S. Johnson 0 4-13 0-6 3-4 5 6 3 1 8 11 5 -
S. Yderstrom 0 5-15 3-11 2-2 1 0 2 0 2 15 1 -
M. Stroman 0 5-10 0-0 3-3 8 3 7 0 2 13 19 -
R. Williams 0 6-19 3-8 1-1 2 2 3 0 1 16 3 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Gross 0 1-6 0-0 2-3 4 1 0 0 3 4 0 -
L. Broomfield 0 2-5 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 2 2 4 8 -
B. Rountree 0 3-10 2-2 6-6 4 4 2 0 5 14 9 -
C. Shegog 0 8-14 0-0 4-7 6 1 3 2 4 20 14 -
S. White 0 1-2 1-1 3-4 1 0 0 0 1 6 4 -

* = starter