Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | Cal Poly Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -1 (57-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Johnson * | 38 | 4-14 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| James Nunnally * | 32 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Kyle Boswell * | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Greg Somogyi * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Christian Peterson * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alan Williams | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Jaime Serna | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Nate Garth | 17 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Keegan Hornbuckle | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T.J. Taylor | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amaurys Fermin * | 39 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | -1 | - |
| David Hanson * | 32 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Will Taylor * | 31 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Drake U'u * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Dylan Royer * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Chris Eversley | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Will Donahue | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Lewis | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Maliik Love | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Odister | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter