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2012-01-02

Model Predictions

Model UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 53.6% 46.4% -
Bradley-Terry 57.3% 42.7% -
Margin 59.3% 40.7% -2.1 (1.1 off)
Efficiency 93.5% 6.5% -

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs -1 (57-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Johnson * 38 4-14 3-8 1-2 4 3 0 1 2 12 4 -
J. Nunnally * 32 4-10 1-5 3-4 5 2 0 0 4 12 5 -
K. Boswell * 26 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 3 3 -
G. Somogyi * 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 2 2 3 -
C. Peterson * 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Williams 29 5-7 0-0 3-6 10 2 1 1 2 13 18 -
J. Serna 26 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 2 1 2 11 -
N. Garth 17 4-4 3-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 0 12 10 -
K. Hornbuckle 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
T.J. Taylor 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Fermin * 39 5-14 1-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 11 -1 -
D. Hanson * 32 3-10 0-5 3-4 3 1 2 0 0 9 5 -
W. Taylor * 31 6-14 0-0 5-8 11 1 1 1 0 17 17 -
D. U'u * 28 2-4 0-1 3-6 4 2 1 1 1 7 10 -
D. Royer * 23 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
J. Johnson 14 2-3 2-2 0-2 3 2 1 0 0 6 9 -
C. Eversley 11 0-2 0-1 2-4 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
W. Donahue 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 3 -
J. Lewis 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Love 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Odister 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter