Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 10.3% | 89.7% | +11.9 | ✗ (22.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.5% | 89.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers -11 (65-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Ryan * | 40 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 14-14 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 25 | - |
| D. Holmes * | 36 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| K. Harris * | 35 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| R. Sawvell * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| T. Taylor * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Cox | 25 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Nelson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Jones | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| R. Cesnulevicius | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Moore | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Moran * | 35 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Koch * | 32 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 20 | - |
| M. Sonnen * | 27 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| S. Tuttle * | 26 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 3-8 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 16 | - |
| A. James * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 24 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | - |
| M. Morrison | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Rank | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Pehl | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter