Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Nittany Lions | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.0% | 82.0% | +8.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +12 (68-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Frazier * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 13 | - |
| J. Marshall * | 31 | 5-14 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 3 | - |
| C. Woodyard * | 28 | 3-13 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| M. Glover * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| B. Oliver * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Lewis | 27 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| S. Borovnjak | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Graham | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Travis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dave Sobolewski * | 40 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Drew Crawford * | 40 | 7-9 | 2-2 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| John Shurna * | 38 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Luka Mirkovic * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Reggie Hearn * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Alex Marcotullio | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Davide Curletti | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| JerShon Cobb | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter