Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Xavier Musketeers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.4% | 25.6% | -5.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Xavier Musketeers -7 (65-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Pangos * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Robert Sacre * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| G. Bell Jr. * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Elias Harris * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Mike Hart * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Sam Dower | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 29 | - |
| Guy Edi | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| David Stockton | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Marquise Carter | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Spangler | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Walker * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Mark Lyons * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Tu Holloway * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Kenny Frease * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Dez Wells * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Travis Taylor | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Dee Davis | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Justin Martin | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Brad Redford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeff Robinson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter