Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | Winthrop Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.1% | 20.9% | -7.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Winthrop Eagles -5 (68-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Dickey * | 45 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Chris Stephenson * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 21 | - |
| J.P. Primm * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Jeremy Atkinson * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Quinard Jackson * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Keith Hornsby | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Jeremy Harn | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Jon Nwannunu | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Trent Meyer | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Winthrop Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Middleton * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | - |
| George Valentine * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 26 | - |
| Andre Jones * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 15 | 16 | - |
| James Bourne * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Derrick Henry * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joab Jerome | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Matt Morgan | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Andre Smith | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Larry Brown | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter