Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +15 (75-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 18 | - |
| B. Paul * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 23 | - |
| M. Leonard * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Bertrand * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| S. Maniscalco * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| T. Abrams | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| N. Egwu | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Griffey | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Shaw | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| M. Henry | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| I. Djimde | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Selus | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Berardini | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Barlow * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Ryne Smith * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Robbie Hummel * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Lewis Jackson * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Jacob Lawson * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Terone Johnson | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| Travis Carroll | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Johnson | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D.J. Byrd | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| John Hart | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Neal Beshears | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dru Anthrop | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter