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2011-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Charleston Southern Buccaneers Liberty Flames Spread Result
Elo 63.4% 36.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 70.3% 29.7% - โœ“
Margin 75.1% 24.9% -6.1 โœ“ (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 66.9% 33.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 81.0% 19.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 81.1% 18.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 63.1% 36.9% - โœ“

Actual: Liberty Flames -5 (76-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charleston Southern Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kelvin Martin * 36 5-8 0-0 6-11 12 1 1 2 5 16 19 -
Saah Nimley * 35 4-13 0-4 15-17 6 3 0 0 3 23 16 -
Arlon Harper * 34 5-13 1-5 1-2 1 1 2 2 2 12 3 -
Mathiang Muo * 32 7-11 3-7 0-2 6 1 0 0 1 17 12 -
Cedrick Bowen * 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 2 8 -
Paul Gombwer 18 2-3 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
Sheldon Strickland 14 2-4 0-1 1-2 0 2 0 0 0 5 3 -
Jeremy Sexton 11 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 2 0 0 2 3 -

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jesse Sanders * 37 6-11 0-1 8-13 10 8 0 0 1 20 26 -
Antwan Burrus * 30 5-9 0-0 3-3 7 0 1 1 0 13 13 -
David Minaya * 29 7-13 0-1 2-6 4 1 2 0 0 16 10 -
Tavares Speaks * 29 5-13 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 10 1 -
Jesse Sanders * 25 4-12 2-8 1-2 3 2 1 0 5 11 0 -
Ethan Layer 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Joel Vander Pol 10 0-0 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
Chene Phillips 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Tomasz Gielo 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Walt Aikens 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Stephen Baird 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Andrew Smith 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter