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2011-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 64.6% 35.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 23.0% 77.0% - โœ“
Margin 35.5% 64.5% +3.3 โœ“ (1.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 9.7% 90.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 26.1% 73.9% - โœ“

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +2 (66-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brockeith Pane * 30 5-9 1-2 0-0 5 3 1 0 5 11 6 -
Danny Berger * 30 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Preston Medlin * 29 5-9 1-4 4-5 3 1 0 0 1 15 9 -
Morgan Grim * 29 5-11 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 0 1 10 8 -
Kyisean Reed * 26 3-8 0-0 2-4 3 0 1 0 0 8 4 -
Ben Clifford 14 3-5 1-2 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 7 8 -
E.J. Farris 12 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
Mitch Bruneel 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
Jordan Stone 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Adam Thoseby 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rodney Hood * 39 7-16 2-5 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 16 8 -
Arnett Moultrie * 33 6-13 0-1 3-5 10 0 0 2 3 15 11 -
Dee Bost * 32 1-10 1-3 2-2 2 4 1 0 3 5 -1 -
Renardo Sidney * 23 6-8 1-1 0-1 7 2 0 0 0 13 14 -
Jalen Steele * 23 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 6 3 -
Brian Bryant 19 2-4 0-1 0-2 3 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
Wendell Lewis 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
Deville Smith 14 2-2 1-1 2-2 1 4 1 0 1 7 10 -

* = starter