Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Louis Billikens | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.3% | 63.7% | +3.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +4 (64-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Louis Billikens
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Conklin | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 29 | - |
| Kwamain Mitchell | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Cody Ellis | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Jordair Jett | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Cassity | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Dwayne Evans | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| M. McCall Jr. | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Rob Loe | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jake Barnett | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cory Remekun | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Gordon | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 27 | - |
| Tony Snell | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Kendall Williams | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| A.J. Hardeman | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Jamal Fenton | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Hugh Greenwood | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Cameron Bairstow | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Demetrius Walker | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Phillip McDonald | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Chad Adams | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter