Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.5% | 78.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | +7.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +7 (69-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kuric * | 38 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| G. Dieng * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| P. Siva * | 29 | 2-13 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 0 | - |
| C. Smith * | 21 | 2-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| C. Behanan * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| R. Smith | 27 | 10-20 | 3-8 | 7-10 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 15 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| R. Buckles | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Ware | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E. Justice | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kidd-Gilchrist * | 39 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 8-13 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 28 | - |
| D. Miller * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -4 | - |
| M. Teague * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Davis * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 12-13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 31 | - |
| D. Lamb * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 8-9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| T. Jones | 30 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| K. Wiltjer | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| E. Vargas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Beckham | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter