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2011-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 12.1% 87.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 20.9% 79.1% - โœ“
Margin 4.2% 95.8% +17.2 โœ“ (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.9% 61.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.1% 98.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“

Actual: Florida Gators +20 (90-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Greg Mangano * 32 11-18 4-6 0-0 15 0 0 2 1 26 24 -
Reggie Willhite * 32 3-10 2-3 0-0 3 5 1 0 4 8 3 -
Austin Morgan * 28 4-12 2-5 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 10 5 -
Jeremiah Kreisberg * 26 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 1 -
Michael Grace * 25 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 6 0 0 1 4 5 -
Isaiah Salafia 15 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 6 0 -
Matt Townsend 12 1-4 0-0 2-5 4 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
Jesse Pritchard 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
Brandon Sherrod 6 1-3 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 1 0 3 3 -
Sam Martin 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Javier Duren 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
Rhett Anderson 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Greg Kelley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Armani Cotton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Will Childs-Klein 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 32 4-8 0-2 3-5 7 2 1 0 1 11 12 -
Kenny Boynton * 31 8-12 5-7 5-7 2 3 0 0 2 26 17 -
Patric Young * 30 6-10 0-0 7-8 4 5 0 1 2 19 17 -
Erving Walker * 27 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 5 1 0 0 3 6 -
Erik Murphy * 25 6-12 5-7 1-2 2 3 2 3 0 18 16 -
Will Yeguete 23 2-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 1 4 10 -
Mike Rosario 23 4-8 1-3 0-1 3 2 0 0 1 9 5 -
Scottie Wilbekin 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
Cody Larson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter