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2011-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 12.1% 87.9% -
Bradley-Terry 20.9% 79.1% -
Margin 4.2% 95.8% +17.2 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.9% 61.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.1% 98.9% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Florida Gators +20 (90-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Mangano * 32 11-18 4-6 0-0 15 0 0 2 1 26 24 -
R. Willhite * 32 3-10 2-3 0-0 3 5 1 0 4 8 3 -
A. Morgan * 28 4-12 2-5 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 10 5 -
J. Kreisberg * 26 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 4 1 -
M. Grace * 25 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 6 0 0 1 4 5 -
I. Salafia 15 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 6 0 -
M. Townsend 12 1-4 0-0 2-5 4 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
J. Pritchard 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
B. Sherrod 6 1-3 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 1 0 3 3 -
S. Martin 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Duren 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
R. Anderson 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
G. Kelley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Cotton 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Childs-Klein 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Beal * 32 4-8 0-2 3-5 7 2 1 0 1 11 12 -
K. Boynton * 31 8-12 5-7 5-7 2 3 0 0 2 26 17 -
P. Young * 30 6-10 0-0 7-8 4 5 0 1 2 19 17 -
E. Walker * 27 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 5 1 0 0 3 6 -
E. Murphy * 25 6-12 5-7 1-2 2 3 2 3 0 18 16 -
W. Yeguete 23 2-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 1 4 10 -
M. Rosario 23 4-8 1-3 0-1 3 2 0 0 1 9 5 -
S. Wilbekin 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
C. Larson 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter