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2011-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons North Dakota State Bison Spread Result
Elo 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.3% 70.7% - โœ“
Margin 9.8% 90.2% +12.2 โœ“ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 12.2% 87.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 12.0% 88.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.7% 74.3% - โœ“

Actual: North Dakota State Bison +16 (84-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Frank Gaines * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 3 26 29 -
Antwaun Boyd * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 2 0 1 4 12 -
Trey McCorkle * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 10 15 -
John Peckinpaugh * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 2 9 -
Jonny Marlin * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Justin Jordan 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 14 16 -
Demario Hines 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 7 10 -
Isaiah McCray 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 1 3 -
Michael Kibiloski 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Jason Smeathers 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Hichem Benayad-Cherif 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

North Dakota State Bison

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lawrence Alexander * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 5 26 28 -
Marshall Bjorklund * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 1 1 2 1 23 39 -
Taylor Braun * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 2 8 14 -
Dylan Hale * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 2 1 3 6 -
TrayVonn Wright * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 1 6 12 -
Mike Felt 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 14 18 -
Jordan Aaberg 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 4 -
Eric Carlson 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 2 5 -
Nate Zastrow 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Drew Lundberg 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter