Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | Charleston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.5% | 36.5% | -4.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Charleston Cougars -8 (76-84). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pearson | 39 | 15-25 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 35 | 28 | - |
| Bryon Allen | 36 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Andre Cornelius | 23 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Vertrail Vaughns | 21 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Mike Morrison | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Erik Copes | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Sherrod Wright | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Vaughn Gray | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Corey Edwards | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jonathan Arledge | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Charleston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Lawrence | 39 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Antwaine Wiggins | 38 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Anthony Stitt | 30 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Adjehi Baru | 29 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Trent Wiedeman | 28 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Matt Sundberg | 20 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Scott | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| James Carlton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Nori Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter