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2011-12-29

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 83.5% 16.5% -
Bradley-Terry 6.7% 93.3% -
Margin 75.7% 24.3% -6.3 (22.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% -
Efficiency 96.0% 4.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.4% 39.6% -
Log Adjusted 60.3% 39.7% -

Actual: Pepperdine Waves +16 (77-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Caloiaro * 30 5-11 1-5 3-3 3 2 1 0 2 14 7 -
R. Green * 29 3-8 1-4 3-4 4 1 2 0 4 10 5 -
C. Doolin * 26 1-8 1-6 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 3 -1 -
P. Blackwell * 26 4-10 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 1 1 11 8 -
J. Wey * 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
M. Williams 27 5-10 1-5 0-1 3 2 1 0 0 11 7 -
D. O'Connor 17 2-6 0-1 1-2 0 2 0 0 0 5 1 -
A. Johnson 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
C. Dickerson 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. Raffington 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
K. Murphy 2 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
C. Adams 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Moore * 35 8-11 2-2 1-2 12 0 0 1 2 19 19 -
T. Darby * 32 5-10 0-0 4-6 2 0 1 1 2 14 6 -
C. Willis * 31 2-5 0-2 6-6 9 7 2 1 1 10 23 -
J. Lowery * 27 3-4 0-1 3-4 5 4 0 1 3 9 12 -
H. Harold * 23 2-5 1-3 3-4 4 1 0 0 2 8 6 -
J. Baker 25 4-9 2-3 0-1 2 1 1 0 3 10 2 -
N. Skouen 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
R. Eaton 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Ochenje 5 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
D. Redix 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Martin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Branning 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter