🐻⬇️🏀

UC Davis Aggies 64
@
Cal State Fullerton Titans 65
2011-12-29

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies Cal State Fullerton Titans Spread Result
Elo 12.6% 87.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 9.7% 90.3% - ✓
Margin 5.1% 94.9% +16.1 ✓ (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 12.0% 88.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 2.6% 97.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 2.5% 97.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 19.6% 80.4% - ✓

Actual: Cal State Fullerton Titans +1 (65-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eddie Miller 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 1 6 13 -
Tyrell Corbin 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 5 1 0 4 8 12 -
Josh Ritchart 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 19 20 -
Alex Tiffin 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 0 0 6 16 -
Tyler Les 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
Ryan Howley 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 7 14 -
Harrison DuPont 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 11 11 -
Player #46690 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 1 -
Adam Malik 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J.T. Adenrele 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 1 2 -

Cal State Fullerton Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kwame Vaughn 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 17 21 -
D.J. Seeley 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 13 17 -
Orane Chin 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 3 3 11 23 -
Isiah Umipig 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 3 6 -
Omondi Amoke 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 8 15 -
Andre Hardy 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 10 14 -
Perry Webster 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 0 0 1 3 9 -

* = starter