Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Denver Pioneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.7% | 95.3% | +16.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.8% | 82.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Pioneers +17 (79-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Jones * | 36 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Will Weathers * | 30 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Justin Wright * | 24 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Tim Owens * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Alan Jones * | 20 | 0-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -9 | - |
| R.J. Scott | 30 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Steven Cunningham | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Ray Chambers | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Daronte Clark | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stafford * | 34 | 8-13 | 5-9 | 5-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 20 | - |
| C. Udofia * | 33 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16 | - |
| C. Hallam * | 32 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| B. Olson * | 31 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| R. Lewis * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. O'Neale | 29 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| T. Hallam | 21 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| J. Coughlin | 7 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| A. Pickert | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter