Model Predictions
| Model | Stetson Hatters | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.6% | 90.4% | +12.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +10 (80-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stetson Hatters
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Perez * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Adam Pegg * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Liam McInerney * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| Joel Naburgs * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Aaron Graham * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Willie Green | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Amara Thompson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tyshawn Patterson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dennis Diaz | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jermol Paul | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Clanton * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 26 | - |
| Isaiah Sykes * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 34 | - |
| Marcus Jordan * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 27 | - |
| Josh Crittle * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Rod Days * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tristan Spurlock | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 20 | - |
| Jeff Jordan | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dwight McCombs | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kasey Wilson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter