Model Predictions
| Model | Marshall Thundering Herd | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.2% | 83.8% | +9.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins +5 (79-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Pitts * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 14 | - |
| D. Kane * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 32 | - |
| D. Tinnon * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 17 | - |
| R. Goff * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 30 | - |
| J. Coleman * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Johnson | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| D. Pena | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Y. Mbao | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| N. Spikes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hanner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Hanlen * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Kerron Johnson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 24 | - |
| Scott Saunders * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 31 | - |
| Ian Clark * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Mick Hedgepeth * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | - |
| J.J. Mann | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Baker | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Adam Barnes | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Blake Jenkins | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Trevor Noack | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Reece Chamberlain | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Spencer Turner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter