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2011-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 45.3% 54.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% - โœ“
Margin 54.3% 45.7% -0.9 โœ— (18.9 off)
Pythagorean 33.1% 66.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 51.1% 48.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 27.3% 72.7% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +18 (78-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mamadou Seck * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 2 1 4 20 30 -
Kendal Brown-Surles * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 13 18 -
Josh Swan * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 2 3 -
T. Daniels * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 6 10 -
Davante Drinkard * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 3 -
T.J. Lindsay 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 8 10 -
Treg Setty 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 2 8 -
Jeff Early 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 3 1 3 5 9 -
Justin Bocot 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 2 0 -
Diamond Taylor 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 2 3 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Colt Ryan * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 1 4 25 30 -
Kenny Harris * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 3 1 2 11 22 -
Denver Holmes * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 3 11 12 -
Troy Taylor * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 3 0 6 8 8 -
Ryan Sawvell * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Lewis Jones 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 8 13 -
Ned Cox 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 2 8 12 -
Jaylon Moore 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
Jordan Nelson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter