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2011-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Rutgers Scarlet Knights Spread Result
Elo 82.5% 17.5% -
Bradley-Terry 58.0% 42.0% -
Margin 80.8% 19.2% -7.9 (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 63.4% 36.6% -
Efficiency 93.1% 6.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.8% 10.2% -
Log Adjusted 89.7% 10.3% -

Actual: Rutgers Scarlet Knights +2 (85-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Beal * 45 4-12 1-6 6-7 7 1 1 2 7 15 7 -
K. Boynton * 45 8-14 3-8 7-7 1 3 0 1 3 26 14 -
P. Young * 41 4-8 0-0 3-3 6 1 0 0 1 11 9 -
E. Walker * 36 4-11 1-5 0-0 6 6 1 0 4 9 7 -
E. Murphy * 35 5-9 2-4 2-2 8 1 0 3 1 14 16 -
W. Yeguete 22 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 0 3 -
M. Rosario 14 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 -1 -
S. Wilbekin 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 3 4 -

Rutgers Scarlet Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Carter * 46 12-24 2-5 5-7 7 7 1 0 2 31 20 -
D. Miller * 42 8-13 0-1 0-0 7 5 2 1 2 16 16 -
J. Seagears * 33 6-12 1-4 0-1 3 1 0 0 2 13 3 -
G. Biruta * 31 1-5 1-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 3 2 -
A. Johnson * 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Mack 37 5-8 3-5 1-1 0 2 2 0 1 14 9 -
M. Poole 23 2-7 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 4 1 -
D. Randall 17 1-2 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 0 1 4 9 -
K. Jack 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter