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2011-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 43.4% 56.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 56.7% 43.3% - โœ—
Margin 42.1% 57.9% +1.8 โœ“ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 61.5% 38.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 48.8% 51.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 48.7% 51.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.5% 52.5% - โœ“

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +1 (72-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Greg Mangano * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 3 4 20 31 -
Austin Morgan * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 15 18 -
Reggie Willhite * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 3 2 2 10 22 -
Jeremiah Kreisberg * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 5 2 5 -
Michael Grace * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 12 14 -
Isaiah Salafia 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 7 8 -
Matt Townsend 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 3 10 -
Brandon Sherrod 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jesse Pritchard 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Sam Martin 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C.J. Harris * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 0 2 23 28 -
Travis McKie * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 1 1 14 25 -
Tony Chennault * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 2 0 2 10 19 -
Nikita Mescheriakov * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 2 2 13 17 -
Carson Desrosiers * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 3 1 8 20 -
Chase Fischer 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 0 0 -
Ty Walker 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
Daniel Green 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
Anthony Fields 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter