Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.5% | 99.5% | +29.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +38 (100-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Hamilton * | 29 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Lucas Troutman * | 27 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Sebastian Koch * | 23 | 6-14 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 1 | - |
| Ryley Beaumont * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Drew Spradlin * | 19 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Jack Isenbarger | 28 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Egheosa Edomwonyi | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Winters | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Brett Ervin | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Blake | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Josh Bonney | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Roger Dugas | 6 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Smith | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| John Moody | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dexter Strickland * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Zeller * | 22 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 20 | - |
| Kendall Marshall * | 22 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| Harrison Barnes * | 20 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| John Henson * | 16 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| P.J. Hairston | 19 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Reggie Bullock | 19 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. McAdoo | 17 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Desmond Hubert | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Justin Watts | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Stilman White | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jackson Simmons | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Patrick Crouch | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Stewart Cooper | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| David Dupont | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter