Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.6% | 27.4% | -5.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +7 (49-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Brewer * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Daniel Munoz * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Blake Jolivette * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Tony Wroblicky * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Charles Hinkle * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Simon McCormack | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Riley Grafft | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Wayne Simon | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Joe Hill | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Daniel Fisher | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Norfleet * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Josh Castellanos * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Danny Thompson * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - |
| Kelvin Parker * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Kristijan Krajina * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Raven Barber | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Xavier Owens | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Chad Holley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jacolby Wells | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter