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2011-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Boston College Eagles Spread Result
Elo 36.9% 63.1% -
Bradley-Terry 43.7% 56.3% -
Margin 30.6% 69.4% +4.5 (25.5 off)
Pythagorean 85.1% 14.9% -
Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.4% 5.6% -
Log Adjusted 94.3% 5.7% -

Actual: Boston College Eagles -21 (46-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. McNally * 30 1-2 1-1 2-2 2 2 2 0 1 5 8 -
B. Curry * 29 2-4 0-1 7-8 2 5 5 0 1 11 18 -
C. Webster * 28 4-10 1-3 1-1 2 3 2 0 0 10 7 -
K. Wright * 27 3-9 0-0 2-2 11 0 1 2 4 8 9 -
K. Casey * 18 1-6 0-2 0-0 7 0 1 0 3 2 1 -
L. Rivard 28 7-12 4-8 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 18 11 -
C. Miller 13 4-5 4-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 12 10 -
W. Saunders 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
J. Travis 5 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
K. Smith 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
S. Moundou-Missi 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Brown 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Van Nest 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Jackson * 35 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 3 1 2 2 7 -
M. Humphrey * 31 2-10 1-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 5 -4 -
D. Clifford * 27 5-6 0-0 4-6 2 1 0 1 3 14 9 -
J. Daniels * 20 3-7 2-2 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 9 1 -
R. Anderson * 16 1-5 0-2 0-0 4 0 2 0 2 2 1 -
P. Heckmann 34 6-11 0-2 1-3 5 6 0 0 4 13 9 -
J. Cahill Jr. 13 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -
G. Moton 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
K. Caudill 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
E. Odio 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Rubin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter