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2011-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Stanford Cardinal USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 87.6% 12.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 83.1% 16.9% - โœ“
Margin 94.5% 5.5% -15.6 โœ“ (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 57.8% 42.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 95.8% 4.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 95.9% 4.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 80.0% 20.0% - โœ“

Actual: USC Trojans -8 (53-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Greenfield 0 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 2 -1 -
C. Ogwumike 0 4-6 0-0 4-9 13 1 1 0 2 12 19 -
T. Kokenis 0 7-16 1-4 0-0 3 1 3 0 0 15 6 -
N. Ogwumike 0 6-16 0-0 7-8 15 3 1 0 5 19 17 -
L. La Rocque 0 1-9 1-7 1-3 3 4 0 0 1 4 1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Gilbreath 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 0 -2 -
A. Corral 0 8-18 2-8 3-3 4 2 0 0 1 21 8 -
B. Butler 0 1-8 0-1 5-8 12 4 3 0 2 7 16 -
C. Harberts 0 1-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -4 -
C. Marinacci 0 5-12 0-1 2-3 9 2 1 0 2 12 10 -

* = starter