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2011-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Central Arkansas Bears UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 15.4% 84.6% -
Bradley-Terry 11.6% 88.4% -
Margin 2.0% 98.0% +21.5 (27.5 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels +49 (124-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Central Arkansas Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Miles * 27 7-16 0-0 7-10 5 3 4 0 3 21 14 -
J. Garner * 26 4-8 3-3 0-0 2 2 0 1 3 11 5 -
M. Rutledge * 23 6-10 1-3 0-2 5 1 1 0 3 13 7 -
J. Harks * 19 4-7 0-0 1-2 6 0 3 0 2 9 9 -
O. Wells * 17 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 2 -2 -
A. Borden 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 2 -1 -
D. Clayborn 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 0 -2 -
R. Crawford 14 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 5 1 -
R. Williams 13 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
C. Henson 10 1-4 0-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
C. Bremner 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
J. Harris 6 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
L. Brown 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Nordman 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Moser * 25 8-14 2-5 0-0 9 6 3 0 2 18 20 -
A. Marshall * 25 4-8 0-1 2-2 3 10 2 1 4 10 14 -
J. Hawkins * 24 4-8 1-3 1-2 4 4 2 0 2 10 10 -
O. Bellfield * 22 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 7 1 1 3 0 5 -
B. Massamba * 5 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
C. Stanback 23 10-12 9-11 0-0 4 3 4 0 1 29 27 -
C. Lopez-Sosa 21 5-5 0-0 3-4 7 2 1 1 0 13 19 -
K. Wallace 18 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 3 -1 -
Q. Thomas 17 5-5 0-0 3-3 5 0 0 1 0 13 14 -
R. Smith 11 5-7 3-5 0-0 1 5 1 0 1 13 12 -
K. Mashour 7 3-4 1-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 2 8 4 -
W. Norman 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter