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2011-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Liberty Flames Richmond Spiders Spread Result
Elo 65.2% 34.8% -
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% -
Margin 17.1% 82.9% +8.7 (7.3 off)

Actual: Richmond Spiders +16 (77-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Burrus * 34 5-8 0-0 3-4 8 1 0 0 4 13 10 -
T. Speaks * 29 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 8 2 -
J. Sanders * 27 5-8 0-1 4-6 3 5 0 0 1 14 13 -
J. Sanders * 24 3-8 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 8 2 -
D. Minaya * 23 3-6 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 6 1 -
T. Gielo 17 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Phillips 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
E. Layer 12 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
A. Smith 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 2 6 -
W. Aikens 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Vander Pol 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Assinesi 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Baird 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Richmond Spiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Brothers * 34 6-9 1-2 4-4 8 4 1 0 0 17 21 -
C. Lindsay * 33 5-7 3-4 6-7 3 4 1 0 1 19 19 -
D. Garrett * 22 4-4 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 2 2 8 6 -
D. Williams * 22 3-6 0-2 5-7 2 1 0 0 1 11 7 -
F. Martel * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Anthony 25 1-7 0-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 2 1 -
J. Duinker 19 5-7 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 12 6 -
G. Robbins 15 1-4 0-2 0-1 1 1 3 0 1 2 2 -
W. Sparrow 13 2-6 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
C. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Benjamin 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
L. Billings 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Z. Estes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter