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2011-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi State Bulldogs Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 30.0% 70.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% - โœ“
Margin 13.5% 86.5% +10.2 โœ“ (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 32.6% 67.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.5% 92.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 7.6% 92.4% - โœ“

Actual: Baylor Bears +2 (54-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Arnett Moultrie * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 0 4 8 15 -
Dee Bost * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 2 9 16 -
Rodney Hood * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 4 0 1 1 7 18 -
Jalen Steele * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 0 1 10 14 -
Renardo Sidney * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 10 14 -
Brian Bryant 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 8 10 -
Wendell Lewis 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 1 0 0 6 -
Deville Smith 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 0 1 -
Roquez Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Perry Jones * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 2 8 14 -
Quincy Acy * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 3 2 7 17 -
Brady Heslip * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 11 10 -
Quincy Miller * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 12 18 -
A.J. Walton * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 3 0 1 0 11 -
Pierre Jackson 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 4 14 17 -
Anthony Jones 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 3 0 1 1 10 -
Gary Franklin 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Cory Jefferson 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 1 2 -

* = starter