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2011-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Portland State Vikings Montana Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 15.2% 84.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 18.6% 81.4% - โœ“
Margin 12.7% 87.3% +10.6 โœ“ (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 36.9% 63.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 11.7% 88.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 11.6% 88.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.7% 71.3% - โœ“

Actual: Montana Grizzlies +11 (75-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Charles Odum * 35 8-13 2-4 9-9 4 2 1 0 3 27 18 -
Chehales Tapscott * 35 3-8 0-0 1-2 12 2 3 2 0 7 18 -
Michael Harthun * 33 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 2 -
Lateef McMullan * 22 0-7 0-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -7 -
Nate Lozeau * 19 1-8 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 4 4 -5 -
Renado Parker 25 7-12 0-0 2-2 8 0 2 1 2 16 13 -
Gary Winston 21 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 4 1 -
Martin Whitmore 10 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 3 0 -

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kareem Jamar * 37 5-10 2-3 5-6 4 4 0 1 4 17 12 -
Will Cherry * 37 6-11 3-5 0-0 4 3 2 1 3 15 11 -
Derek Selvig * 32 2-6 2-2 2-2 4 4 0 0 4 8 6 -
Art Steward * 31 6-9 1-1 2-3 4 2 0 2 0 15 14 -
Mathias Ward * 20 4-7 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 9 4 -
Eric Hutchison 18 2-2 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 0 5 10 -
Eric Hutchison 18 2-2 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 0 5 10 -
Shawn Stockton 15 0-1 0-0 4-4 2 1 2 0 0 4 8 -
Keron DeShields 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 1 0 2 5 -
Michael Weisner 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter