Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Hoosiers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +15 (80-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Moore | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Hulls * | 35 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1 | - |
| C. Watford * | 35 | 9-16 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 19 | - |
| V. Oladipo * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| V. Jones III * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| C. Zeller * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Roth | 18 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Pritchard | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Elston | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Abell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wood * | 36 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| D. Green * | 34 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1-4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| K. Appling * | 33 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 9-10 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 26 | - |
| B. Dawson * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| A. Payne * | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Nix | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| A. Thornton | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Trice II | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Gauna | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter