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2011-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Wichita State Shockers Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 17.3% 82.7% -
Bradley-Terry 69.3% 30.7% -
Margin 70.6% 29.4% -4.8 (34.2 off)
Pythagorean 92.0% 8.0% -
Efficiency 96.6% 3.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% -
Log Adjusted 96.8% 3.2% -

Actual: Bradley Braves -39 (51-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Kyles * 29 4-13 3-9 0-0 4 3 3 0 1 11 7 -
T. Murry * 24 4-9 0-0 4-4 6 4 1 0 2 12 12 -
G. Stutz * 19 5-6 0-0 4-4 10 2 0 0 0 14 20 -
C. Hall * 19 5-6 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 1 1 10 14 -
J. Ragland * 16 4-7 2-3 2-2 0 3 1 0 2 12 7 -
T. Cotton 18 2-4 1-1 3-3 3 1 2 0 3 8 7 -
D. Williams 15 1-3 0-1 1-1 1 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
B. Smith 15 3-5 1-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 8 5 -
E. Orukpe 14 3-4 0-0 1-4 6 0 0 0 2 7 7 -
J. Anacreon 11 2-4 0-0 1-3 2 0 3 1 0 5 7 -
E. Wessel 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
J. White 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
R. Vautravers 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Prosser * 29 3-5 0-0 3-4 9 0 0 1 1 9 13 -
T. Brown * 28 6-10 1-3 6-8 3 1 0 0 2 19 11 -
D. Simms-Edwards * 28 1-8 1-4 1-2 3 1 3 0 2 4 1 -
W. Lemon Jr. * 25 1-10 0-2 4-4 1 1 0 0 4 6 -6 -
S. Shayok * 18 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 2 -3 -
J. Eastman 21 1-9 0-1 4-6 5 2 1 0 1 6 4 -
C. Woods 12 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Thompson 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 3 0 1 3 -
J. Crawford 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Knezevic 8 1-4 1-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 4 0 -
D. Stewart 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Hodges 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter