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2011-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions Jacksonville State Gamecocks Spread Result
Elo 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.1% 70.9% - โœ“
Margin 7.2% 92.8% +14.1 โœ“ (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 23.2% 76.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.7% 96.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 3.4% 96.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 22.9% 77.1% - โœ“

Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks +23 (78-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Savalance Townsend 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 7 1 2 2 18 36 -
Mitchell Anderson 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 3 11 16 -
Daniel Broughton 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 14 21 -
Rontrell Bailey 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 1 3 -
Austin Allen 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 7 11 -
Clay Johnson 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 3 0 3 -
Lavoris Weathers 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 1 6 -
Derrius Nelson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
Kyle Jones 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
Jamar Harris 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Demetrious Smith 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jaylon Floyd 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Williams 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 4 0 3 15 20 -
Mason Leggett 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 5 10 -
Tarvin Gaines 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 0 13 23 -
Stephen Hall 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 12 17 -
Rinaldo Mafra 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 7 -
Darion Rackley 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 4 0 1 14 21 -
Ronnie Boggs 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 1 4 -
Nick Cook 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 2 6 11 -
Frankie Bougher 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
Grant White 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 5 8 -
Dion Waiters 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -

* = starter