Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Black Bears | Brown Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.3% | 56.7% | +1.0 | ✗ (14.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.0% | 42.0% | -1.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brown Bears -13 (58-71). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Edwards | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 28 | - |
| Alasdair Fraser | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 25 | - |
| Mike Allison | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Raheem Singleton | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Gerald McLemore | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Xavier Pollard | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Andrew Rogers | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Kilian Cato | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Svetoslav Chetinov | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Brown Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean McGonagill | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Matt Sullivan | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 23 | - |
| Andrew McCarthy | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 22 | - |
| Tyler Ponticelli | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Longji Yiljep | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Jean Harris | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Dockery Walker | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Tellef Lundevall | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Jon Schmidt | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Josh Biber | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Patrick Donnelly | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter