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2011-12-23

Model Predictions

Model Vermont Catamounts Towson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 94.4% 5.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 92.0% 8.0% - โœ“
Margin 94.5% 5.5% -15.7 โœ“ (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 93.7% 6.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 95.9% 4.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 95.9% 4.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 80.7% 19.3% - โœ“

Actual: Towson Tigers -16 (49-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brian Voelkel * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 11 1 0 0 4 24 -
Sandro Carissimo * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 8 11 -
Brendan Bald * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 15 18 -
Ben Crenca * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 0 5 -
Matt Glass * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 5 7 -
Luke Apfeld 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 24 24 -
Four McGlynn 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 7 -
Clancy Rugg 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 2 9 -
Josh Elbaum 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
Pat Bergmann 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Chris Santo 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Ryan McKeaney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Towson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Damas * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 10 14 -
Kris Walden * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 4 4 6 -
Deon Jones * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 11 15 -
Robert Nwankwo * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 2 3 9 18 -
Erique Gumbs * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 2 1 5 9 -
Alex Giergen 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 8 11 -
Will Adams 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 0 5 -
Jervon Pressley 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
Jamel Flash 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter