Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.5% | 91.5% | +13.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +11 (62-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #46690 * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Tyler Les * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Howley * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Josh Ritchart * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tyrell Corbin | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Adam Malik | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Alex Tiffin | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramell Taylor * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Damon Heuir * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Jackson Stevenett * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Ray Jones * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Matt Massey * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Johnson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Julian Scott | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Wade Collie | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chris Nsenki | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter